Gold rebounds on US stimulus, softer yields

Tuesday, 2 March 2021 03:54 - - {{hitsCtrl.values.hits}}

Reuters: Gold jumped over 1% on Monday as a retreat in US Treasury yields pushed investors to bullion again as a refuge from inflation following the passage of a $ 1.9 trillion US stimulus package.

Spot gold was up 0.5% to $ 1,742.30 per ounce at 1151 GMT, after rising as much as 1.5% to $ 1,759.53 earlier in the session. US gold futures rose 0.7% to $ 1,740.70 per ounce.

“In today's trade, investors are simply scared of a rising inflation due to the stimulus, which will put an awful amount of liquidity in the market,” said StoneX analyst Rhona O'Connell.

The US House of Representatives approved President Joe Biden's $ 1.9 trillion coronavirus relief bill early on Saturday, sending it to the Senate for consideration. Gold dropped 3% on Friday, and recorded its biggest monthly decline since November 2016 in February due to a rise in US bond yields. Reversal of the higher yield trend helped gold, said Stephen Innes, chief global market strategist at financial services firm Axi.

While gold is considered a shield against inflation, higher yields have of late threatened that status, since they translate into the higher opportunity cost of holding bullion, which pays no return.

“In the short term we might see some confusion in the market; a weak dollar due to stimulus packages might help gold in the medium term. However, as the economy gains confidence and positive results come out of the vaccines, gold will face some headwinds,” StoneX's O'Connell said.

On the technical front, the psychological $ 1,700 level is very significant, while the $ 1,760-1,765 range is an important hurdle for gold to rise further, Axi's Innes said.