41% of Sri Lankans say country heading in right direction post-AKD victory

Friday, 25 October 2024 02:29 - - {{hitsCtrl.values.hits}}

Presidential election leads to big turnaround in public views on the country’s direction claims Institute for Health Policy’s SLOTS

Sri Lankans’ views of the country’s direction improved dramatically in Sri Lanka Opinion Tracker Survey (SLOTS) polling for September 2024 says its compiler Institute for Health Policy (IHP). In the weeks leading up to the Presidential election, a net 43% of the public thought the country was heading in the wrong direction.

This reversed after the election, with a net 5% of Sri Lankans saying that the country was headed in the right direction in the last ten days of the month, the highest level since SLOTS started tracking this in April 2022.

Overall, during September, an average of 21% of adults thought the country was heading in the right direction versus 54% who thought the country was heading in the wrong direction.

41% of Sri Lankans...

In the period before elections on 21 September, 16% thought the country was heading in the right direction, and this increased to 41% after the polls, whilst 59% thought the country was heading in the wrong direction before elections, falling to 36% after.

This dramatic turnaround in opinion occurred immediately after the election on 21 September. SLOTS did not conduct interviews during 22-23 September, but the change in sentiment was clear and detectable immediately from 24 September when the survey resumed.

The improvement in the public’s views about the country’s direction was broad-based and across all demographics. The biggest improvements were seen in the poorest adults (+77%), and in younger adults (18-29 years +74%, 30-44 years +77%), Sinhala (+75%) and Muslim (+74%) respondents. The only demographic, where net opinion on the country’s direction did not increase into positive territory, was the richest third of Sri Lankans, in which a net 6% thought the country was heading in the wrong direction.

The big change in views in Sri Lanka meant that Sri Lankans went from being amongst the pessimistic nations when thinking about the direction of the country to being the amongst the most positive after the elections. Before September 2024, when excluding “no opinion” responses for comparability with other countries, over 90% of Sri Lankans believed the country was on the wrong track. In a global IPSOS poll of 29 countries, an average of 61% of adults thought their country was heading in the wrong direction, according to September estimates.

By comparison, 79% of Sri Lankans held this view before the election (during 1-20 Sep), a figure only better than South Korea and Japan, but far behind other South Asian countries tracked. After the election, this percentage dropped to 32% (68% in the right direction) moving Sri Lanka into the top three countries with positive outlooks.