CB objects to Fitch evaluation

Friday, 22 November 2019 00:01 -     - {{hitsCtrl.values.hits}}

  • Says latest report does not take ground situation into account
  • Argues positive signs for economy with dissipation of political uncertainty 
  • Highlights stock market performance, appreciating rupee, declining interest rates
  • Argues initial signs indicate focus to have professional, strong governance  

 

The Central Bank of Sri Lanka yesterday strongly objected to the statement released by Fitch Ratings, arguing it reflected the “complete opposite” of the positive market response to the outcome of the Presidential Elections. 

Referring to the latest Fitch Ratings report titled “Sri Lanka Election Result Increases Policy Uncertainty,” the Central Bank in a statement said, “it depicts the complete opposite of the realised positive market response” to the outcome of the Presidential Elections.

“The domestic foreign exchange market, as well as debt and equity markets, have responded positively to the outcome of the election. The Sri Lankan rupee has appreciated by more than one rupee against the US dollar during the four days since the conclusion of the elections. During this period, there has also been a sharp decline in the forward premia, reinforcing expectations of a further appreciation of the rupee,” the statement said. 

In the Government securities market, primary market yields declined sharply at the auction for Treasury bills held on 20 November while the secondary market yields have also declined notably across the yield curve, the report added. 

Meanwhile, International Sovereign Bond (ISB) yields have behaved orderly since the start of the business week. Foreign investors have continued to invest notable amounts of funds in the Sri Lankan rupee denominated Government securities. 

Moreover, the All Share Price Index of the Colombo Stock Exchange has increased significantly over the past few days. Ignoring these positive market trends is a material omission in the statement issued by Fitch Ratings.

“As the Government is still being formed, the Central Bank is of the opinion that it is premature for any analyst to express a view on the precise policy path of the new Government and its potential outcome.” 

“There is a high likelihood that the aforesaid positive market sentiments could strengthen further in the period ahead, with the dissipation of political uncertainties. Initial measures introduced by the government thus far indicate the President’s resolve to maintain a professional and strong governance structure in the new administration.”

Accordingly, the contents of the Statement issued by Fitch Ratings, which are purely based on loose assumptions, cannot be endorsed, particularly as they are very much at variance with actual market developments and expectations, the Central Bank said.   

 

Election result increases policy uncertainty: Fitch

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