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Tuesday, 7 January 2014 00:01 - - {{hitsCtrl.values.hits}}
China’s CSI300 index sagged 2.5%, hitting a five-month low after the HSBC/Markit services sector Purchasing Managers’ Index fell to 50.9 in December from 52.5 in the previous month, with new business expansion the slowest in six months.
The Chinese index is down 4.2% since the start of the year, adding to last year’s 7.6% decline.
“What have been the principal sort of driver of the market since the beginning of the new year has been a disappointment of the Chinese PMI data,” Guy Stear, Asian credit and equity strategist at Societe Generale in Hong Kong, referring to the manufacturing PMI released last week.
“The focal point of the Asian markets is more on Chinese growth and on Chinese political situation and how it’s going to pan out this year, rather than worrying about how tapering will affect Asia specifically,” he added. The Thai baht fell a near four-year low of 33.09 per dollar and Thai stocks dropped 1.4%, hitting a 16-month trough driven by heightened political uncertainties ahead of next month’s general election. In terms of valuations, Thai equities were relatively expensive, with its 12-month forward price-to-earnings of 11.9, slightly ahead of a five-year average of 11.4 and the MSCI Asia-Pacific ex-Japan’s 11.7, according to Thomson Reuters Datastream.
Japan’s Nikkei share average stumbled 2.2% in the first trading day of 2014. The benchmark jumped 57% last year to mark its best annual rise since 1972 on the back of massive fiscal and monetary stimulus.
As Japanese equities took a beating, the yen got some respite against the dollar, up 0.5% at 104.29 yen, not far from a two-week high of 104.08 yen touched last Friday. Against a basket of major currencies, the dollar added 0.1% to near a four-week high set on Friday, helped by Bernanke’s comments. Bernanke, who steps down as head of the Fed at month’s end, gave an upbeat assessment of the U.S. economy in coming quarters, but he tempered the good news in housing, finance and fiscal policies by repeating that the overall recovery “clearly remains incomplete”.
U.S. stocks ended last week slightly weaker, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 down 0.5% for the week after it jumped 30% in 2013. .N Friday’s nonfarm payrolls data will give further clues as to how well the U.S. economy is recovering and how fast the Fed will unwind its stimulus campaign, which has been a major driver for global assets in the past few years.
“With the Fed having set the tapering process in motion, it would likely take a fairly significant miss to derail tapering expectations and push yields significantly lower from their year-end levels,” analysts at BNP Paribas wrote in a note.
“Against this backdrop, the dollar is likely to remain generally well-supported this week, particularly versus the lower-yielding G10 currencies,” they added.
Before the jobs report on Friday, investors will focus on the minutes of the Fed’s December policy meeting, due out on Jan 8, and the European Central Bank’s policy gathering on Thursday.
The euro was little changed at $1.35835, taking a pause after dropping 0.6% in the previous session.
Among commodities, gold advanced 0.5% a near three-week high of about $1,242.6 an ounce, heading for a fifth day of gains. The precious metal suffered a 28% slump in 2013, its worst yearly performance since 1981, largely due to the Fed’s plan to unwind its stimulus program.
U.S. crude futures gained 0.1% to above $94 a barrel, coming off a four-week low set on Friday after data showed a larger-than-expected build in distillates.
