Saturday, 8 February 2014 00:00
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Reuters: Asian shares regained a measure of stability on Friday, stepping further away from five-month lows after a strong rally on Wall Street and hopeful signs the upcoming U.S. payroll report could put some global growth concerns to rest.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.8%, a day after the index posted its biggest gains in over two months. The index bounced 2.2% from a five-month low hit on Wednesday.
Japan’s Nikkei also rose 2.2% on the day, extending its rebound from a four-month low hit earlier in the week. Mainland China shares were almost flat from a week ago after the week-long lunar new year holiday.
European shares are expected to rise, with Britain’s FTSE seen rising 0.2% and Germany’s DAX up 0.1%. A drop in applications for U.S. unemployment insurance and strong earnings helped Wall Street shares post their best day of the year on Thursday while European shares also jumped.
Initial claims for U.S. state unemployment benefits declined 20,000 last week to a seasonally adjusted 331,000, below economists’ median forecast of 335,000. While the data has no direct bearing on January’s employment report, as it falls outside the survey period, it buoyed the mood after the recent rout in emerging economies raised fresh concerns about the global growth outlook.
“Risk sentiment will recover when the market can be assured that the Chinese economy is doing all right and that U.S. economic growth is firm,” said Tomoaki Shishido, fixed income analyst at Nomura Securities.
For many investors who have been expecting the developed economies, especially the United States, to lead the global economy this year, solid evidence of strong U.S. job growth is vital to maintain conviction.
More so after a surprisingly downbeat report for December raised concerns U.S. growth may not be solid as some investors had hoped. Economists expect a payroll increase of 185,000 in January.
“The non-farm payrolls report is always an important release for the U.S. dollar but this month in particular, it could make or break the greenback,” Kathy Lien, managing director at BK Asset Management, said in a note to clients.
Relative calm in vulnerable emerging markets over recent days also helped to ease worries some emerging economies might suffer harsh downturns if capital flight continues.
Battered currencies such as the Turkish lira and the South African rand are trading off their recent lows.
“Compared to the Latin American crisis or the Russian crisis in 1990s, most countries have large forex reserves. So I do not think we will see a major crisis this time,” said Tetsuro Ii, the president of Commons Asset Management.
The euro held near a one-week high against the dollar after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said on Thursday that the euro zone was not plagued by deflation.
He did, however, caution that the currency bloc’s economy remained skewed to the downside and put markets on alert for a possible rate move in March, acknowledging that emerging-market turbulence could hit the euro zone.
The euro traded at $1.3592, having risen as high as $1.3619 on Thursday, its highest level in a week.
Improved risk appetite prompted the yen to step back further from a 10-week high hit earlier in the week when concerns over emerging markets were heightened.
The dollar traded at 102.00 yen, off a low of 100.755 yen marked on Tuesday.
Elsewhere, London copper gained 0.3% after a big gain the previous day, on optimism on the global economy.
