Asian shares skid as Fed monetary meeting looms

Tuesday, 28 July 2015 00:03 -     - {{hitsCtrl.values.hits}}

Asian shares began the week on a plaintive note amid losses on Wall Street and worries over China, while investors braced for a Federal Reserve meeting that might take another small step toward lifting US interest rates.

Financial spreadbetters expected Britain’s FTSE 100 0.3% lower, Germany’s to open 0.4% down, and France’s CAC 40 to open 0.3% lower. UBS’s stronger-than-expected results may help markets.

Japan’s Nikkei slipped more than 1%, while MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 1.4%.

In China, the CSI300 index .CSI300 of the largest listed companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen fell 3%, with sentiment still soured by a poor PMI manufacturing survey.

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“A rapid, post-rout rebound in mainland ‘A’ shares has ended, and the market has entered a stage of fluctuations, with investor sentiment increasingly unsteady,” fund manager Yang Delong at China Southern Asset Management wrote to clients.

Australia’s main index was up 0.2% but mining stocks struggled with the slump in global commodity prices.

Both copper and the Thomson Reuters CRB commodities index hit their lowest in six years. Early Monday, copper futures were off another 0.1%.

The Fed’s policy-setting Open Market Committee meets on Tuesday and Wednesday and is considered highly unlikely to lift interest rates just yet, though it does still seem set on a move in September.

Trading volume has shrunk recently due to the northern hemisphere summer break exacerbating market moves. For example, turnover in Hong Kong stocks on Friday was below 80 billion Hong Kong dollars ($10.3 billion), less than half of 200 billion seen earlier this month.

“We expect Fed voters to pull the trigger in September, but for the path to interest rate normalization to be a long one given the global risk profile, the lack of inflationary pressure, and concerns over what moving too quickly may do to asset markets, particularly the dollar, and the wider economy,” said analysts at Australia and New Zealand Banking Group.

Expectations of a hike have slowly pushed up U.S. Treasury yields and widened the dollar’s premium over the euro. Yields on two-year U.S. notes are around 90 basis points more than German debt.

The common currency was a shade firmer at $1.10070 on Monday, but not far from recent lows around $1.0810.

The dollar was 0.1% lower against a basket of currencies at 97.035. It was broadly steady on the yen at 123.48 having spent the past few sessions wandering between 123.54 and 124.48.

A first estimate of US economic growth for last quarter is due on Thursday and is expected to show a rebound of 2.7% annualised, from the first quarter’s weather-induced contraction.

The Dow ended Friday down 0.92%, while the S&P 500 lost 1.07% and the Nasdaq 1.12%. For the week, the Dow fell 2.9% while the S&P 500 lost 2.2% and the Nasdaq 2.3%.

Wall Street has been weighed in part by concerns that a high U.S. dollar and sluggish global demand was pressuring corporate profits, a theme that should wend its way through this week’s busy diary of earnings.

As well as blue-chip names such as Pfizer and Exxon Mobil, there are a range of social media stocks that have led the market so far in 2015 including Facebook, Cigna, Twitter and LinkedIn.

Brent crude oil was quoted 7 cents lower at $54.55 a barrel and near its lowest since March. US crude was off 21 cents at $47.93. Gold seemed to have steadied after its recent slide, with spot bullion at $1,097.90 an ounce.

China stocks tumble, suffer biggest one-day loss in 8 years

Reuters: Chinese shares tumbled more than 8% on Monday amid renewed fears about the outlook for the world’s No. 2 economy, reviving the spectre of a full-blown market crash that prompted unprecedented government intervention earlier this month.

Major indexes suffered their largest one-day drop since 2007, shattering a period of relative calm in China’s volatile stock markets since Beijing unleashed a barrage of support measures to arrest a slump that began in mid-June.

The CSI300 index of the largest listed companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen plunged 8.6%, to 3,818.73, while the Shanghai Composite Index lost 8.5%, to 3,725.56 points.

While the falls followed lacklustre data on profit at Chinese industrial firms on Monday and a disappointing private factory sector survey on Friday, there was little to explain the scale of the sell-off.

Some analysts said fears that China may hold off from further loosening of monetary policy had contributed to souring investor sentiment.

“The recent rebound had been swift and strong, so there’s need for a technical correction,” said Yang Hai, strategist at Kaiyuan Securities.

He said the trigger was “a sluggish U.S. market amid stronger expectations of a Fed rate rise in the fourth quarter. That, coupled with China’s rising pork prices, fuels concerns that China would refrain from loosening monetary policies further.”

In late June and early July, Chinese authorities cut interest rates, suspended initial public offerings, relaxed margin-lending and collateral rules and enlisted brokerages to buy stocks, backed by central bank cash, to support share prices.

The battery of stabilisation measures followed a peak-to-trough slump of more than 30% in China’s benchmark indexes, which had more than doubled over the preceding year.

Chinese share markets had recovered around 15% since then, before Monday’s renewed sell-off.

Stocks fell across the board on Monday, with 2,247 companies falling, leaving only 77 gainers.

Index heavyweights, including China Unicom, Bank of Communications and PetroChina, slumped by their daily downward limit of 10%.

More than 1,500 shares listed in Shanghai and Shenzhen dived by the daily limit.

 

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