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Wednesday, 26 June 2013 00:00 - - {{hitsCtrl.values.hits}}
The debt crisis may have eased, allowing governments some leeway on austerity in favour of growth, but the question is how far they can go without compromising hard won gains.
Germany, the bloc’s biggest economy and paymaster, insists that strained public finances still have to be put right first if the EU is to get back on track, while France under Socialist President Francois Hollande says growth is the priority.
The summit on Thursday and Friday comes against a distinctly mixed backdrop, the European economic outlook is for further recession and the global picture is uncertain as China slows sharply.
At the same time, borrowing costs kept low by central bank intervention are beginning to rise and are expected to go much higher, clouding the outlook for both business and states whose debt burden will now only weigh heavier.
A plan to produce jobs must be approved, “otherwise Europe will be seen by everyone as useless, negative and bureaucratic,” Italian Prime Minister Enrico Letta said Sunday.
“Employment for young people in Europe has collapsed,” Letta told RAI public television. “I hope we will be able to come out and tell people that we have done something concrete and which can be implemented immediately.” The numbers speak for themselves.
In April, the last month for which figures are available, unemployment in the 17-nation eurozone hit a 24th consecutive monthly high at 12.2% or 19.3 million people, while the 27-member EU had an 11% jobless rate or more than 26 million out of work.
In the 16-25 age bracket, the situation was much worse; the eurozone had an average unemployment rate of 24.4% or 3.6 million, and the EU 23.5% or 5.6 million.
Even worse, however, was the situation in bailed-out Greece, with a youth jobless rate of more than 60%, followed by Spain on 50% and Italy and Portugal at 40%; levels so high that people are talking of a “lost generation” which may never find work.
EU President Herman Van Rompuy describes the problem as “one of the most pressing issues in most, if not all, of our member states” which leaders simply must tackle if the union is to prove its worth.
“We want to avoid another summit with a lot of declarations and little action,” a diplomat in Brussels told AFP.
Growing frustration with the EU’s role is clearly evident.
At the weekend, the pro-EU Dutch government said the time of “an ever closer union” in Europe was over, setting out a raft of policy areas that should be left to member states rather than Brussels.
“This is an issue which strikes a chord with many people across Europe,” it said, adding that its aim was to create “a European Union that is a more modest, more sober and at the same time more effective.” Conservative British Prime Minister David Cameron has called for powers to be taken back from Brussels and for Britain’s refashioned membership to be put to an ‘in-out’ referendum.
Another key issue for growth and credibility are stalled efforts to put in place a “banking union,” the new regulatory system meant to prevent failing lenders from damaging the wider economy, as they have done repeatedly during the debt crisis.
Lengthy talks last week produced no accord on how a failed bank should be wound up, mainly due to differences over who should foot the bill. EU finance ministers will meet again Wednesday, right ahead of the summit.
“An agreement on banking union is fundamental for us,” Letta said.
“We will not accept any compromise on this because banking union means protecting savers from possible crashes making the European financial system more solid and getting loans at lower rates,” he said.
“I am not definitively confident,” he said, adding: “There will be a tough battle.” On the diplomatic front, the summit is also set to give the go-ahead for Croatia to become an EU member on 1 July, the first enlargement since Bulgaria and Romania joined in 2007.
EU leaders could also give an official start date for membership negotiations with Serbia after the former pariah state normalised relations with Kosovo earlier this year.
